Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 13.973421 15.998299 18.227798 20.867032 23.909165 27.309452 31.403552
2025-11-16 11.012721 13.590039 16.656161 20.581369 25.485946 31.428939 39.202540
2025-11-23 9.202759 11.973290 15.454793 20.167419 26.406326 34.419185 45.549885
2025-11-30 8.403238 11.424018 15.397012 21.031852 28.863042 39.427462 54.871311
2025-12-07 7.609926 10.743266 15.029142 21.357919 30.532201 43.449596 63.196149
2025-12-14 6.862087 10.016268 14.483232 21.320376 31.611576 46.667717 70.627615
2025-12-21 6.200013 9.327101 13.897286 21.124234 32.381625 49.438619 77.602570
2025-12-28 5.883191 9.107571 13.963015 21.883452 34.632250 54.609004 88.785872
2026-01-04 5.552300 8.826484 13.895699 22.407606 36.534137 59.376815 99.781579
2026-01-11 5.307349 8.652124 13.968947 23.146045 38.828023 64.960680 112.688646
2026-01-18 4.831567 8.056355 13.305258 22.592757 38.887441 66.790770 119.255135
2026-01-25 4.457392 7.594740 12.818447 22.284246 39.318546 69.264709 127.174876
2026-02-01 4.122701 7.176546 12.376976 22.026674 39.836858 71.979678 135.913155
2026-02-08 3.814480 6.777725 11.934044 21.722552 40.234852 74.502564 144.547201
2026-02-15 3.517926 6.373547 11.445428 21.284586 40.329859 76.447476 152.225660
2026-02-22 3.444073 6.367600 11.672340 22.199280 43.078097 83.692263 171.280201
2026-03-01 3.296895 6.211797 11.607478 22.544332 44.736622 88.948293 186.794318
2026-03-08 3.112688 5.970004 11.359462 22.504602 45.612773 92.702088 199.511105
2026-03-15 2.923934 5.704036 11.042897 22.297039 46.119080 95.729508 210.953777
2026-03-22 2.864793 5.688818 11.214978 23.100493 48.812014 103.596442 234.058013
2026-03-29 2.781060 5.616984 11.267052 23.655230 51.018919 110.619626 256.009076
2026-04-05 2.724674 5.596328 11.420449 24.436816 53.791127 119.144624 282.450295
2026-04-12 2.539432 5.292603 10.963704 23.851193 53.446533 120.612414 292.025618